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Abu Dhabi's population set to grow to 3.1 million by 2030

posted on 21/09/2007: 4402 views


By 2030 Abu Dhabi's gross population is projected to surge to 3.1 million from the current baseline figure of 930,000 in 2007, while annual tourist visits and residential units are set to rise to 7.9 million and 686,000 from 1.8 million and 180,000 respectively.

'Population of Abu Dhabi is expected to increase from 930,000 in 2007 to 1.3 million in 2013, 2 million in 2020 and to 3.1 million in 2030, according to estimates made by the Plan Abu Dhabi 2030: Urban Structure Framework Plan which announced in the capital on Wednesday.

The Urban Structure Framework Plan, "Plan Abu Dhabi 2030", presents a coherent picture for the future of the City of Abu Dhabi as an environmentally, socially and economically sustainable community and as an increasingly important National capital. It provides for a way to grow and take advantage of the economic opportunities at hand without sacrificing the best of the city while adding new elements to make it a great world metropolis.

Abu Dhabi will see strong demand for residential units across all sectors of the market as the population grows. Strong governmental and service sectors will lead to a gradual increase in the proportion of white collar workers.

According to the Plan, number of residential units will jump to 686,000 by 2030 from 180,000 in 2007, 251,000 in 2013 and 411,000 in 2020.

Increases in hotel rooms supply will be essential to accommodate the anticipated growth in both business and leisure guests to Abu Dhabi. The islands will be the primary location for leisure hotel development, while new business hotels will be needed close to the business centres and the airport.

Hotel rooms are projected to rise from 10,000 in 2007 to 21,000, 49,000 and 74,000 by 2013, 2020 and 2030 respectively.

Annual tourist visits are set to go up to 7.9 million by 2030 from 1.8 million, 3.3 million and 4.9 million in 2007, 2013, 2020 and 2030 respectively.

While Abu Dhabi's economy will remain strongly influenced by the energy sector, growth in government, institution and service sector employment will lead to increasing demand for office space as the market matures. In 2007, office space is put at 1.4 million square metres and is suggested to soar to 2.5 million square metres, 3.5 million square metres and 7.5 million square metres in 2013, 2020 and 2030 respectively.

Increasing population and tourism will lead to a growing demand for retail space from 0.86 million square metres in 2007 to 1.5, 2.5 and 4 million square metres in 2013, 2020 and 2030 respectively.

The industrial sector will grow with the expansion and relocation of the port area, combined with the development of a significant industrial zone in close proximity to the new port.

Industry space is estimated to expand at 4 million square metres in 2007, 6.5 million square metres in 2013, 10 million square metres in 2020 and 15 million square metres in the target year of the plan in 2030.

A primary goal of the Abu Dhabi Government's education policy is to create the highest quality, comprehensive system of education that applies world-class standards and expertise to the delivery of education at all levels. Population in the emirate will need 650 school to educate their kids by 2030. Schools needed for the 2013 and 2020 are estimated at 330 and 450 respectively. Today there are 236 schools.



As for Hospital and Healthcare, the Government of Abu Dhabi is making significant improvements to the Emirate's healthcare system, expanding capacity and raising standards across the sector. This includes a number of new healthcare institutions and the development of existing facilities. The plan envisages emergence of hospitals with total capacity of 4,500 beds in 2013, 6,500 beds in 2020 and 10,000 beds in 2030 from 2,800 beds in 2007.

Golf development is envisaged in a number of the resort development areas and the creation of a number of courses will help drive golf-related tourism to Abu Dhabi. Golf serves to increase the value and desirability of residential and resort real estate, but the construction and operating costs of such facilities are high in the UAE. Therefore, the level of supply is expected to remain relatively modest. The number of golf courses is anticipated to hike from 3 in 2007 to 10 in 2013, 18 in 2020 and 25 in 2030.

'Nothing has been more crucial to developing the Urban Structure Framework Plan than a well-grounded picture of the projected economic and demographic trends for the next quarter of a century. Enormous growth is envisioned over this timeframe - between a tripling and quadrupling of the current population - and the Plan must identify how this growth, and accompanying economic expansion, will be manifested in built form.

The economic projections established by the government's spending priorities in areas such as healthcare, education, tourism and industrial diversification are the core source of the population growth and market projection scenarios outlined in the following section.

As for Marina: Demand for marina berths is likely to rise as developments on the islands around Abu Dhabi mature, but boating remains an expensive pastime and thus a steady growth rate, in line with population growth, is expected. (Emirates News Agency, WAM)

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